2016.11.16 02:00 UTC – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

This is the ESC European Windstorm Overview, issued at 02:00am on the 16th of November, 2016.

Severe storm MIRJA is located just to the northwest of Iceland with a central pressure of 966hPa at the 18UTC analysis. Peak gusts in the system currently exceed 170km/h, making it fit for the classification as “severe storm”. The system is forecast to gradually move to the east, and within the next 24 hours will (in some regions continue to) affect Iceland, Ireland, the UK and the North Sea Islands. At the beginning of the forecast period, in the coming few hours, the possibility of severe storm gusts especially at the southwestern coast of Iceland is given. A storm warning has been issued for all of the above regions, in southwestern Iceland it overlays a severe storm watch.
Peak gusts registered in relation to storm MIRJA in the past 24h:
154km/h in Cairngorn Mountains, UK
133km/h in Juvvasshoe, Norway

Storm LAURA is located at the northwestern coast of Norway. It currently has a central pressure of 965hPa, and peak gusts exceeding 105km/h. Within the next 24 hours, it will continue to move towards the east and quickly lose intensity; however especially at the beginning of the forecast period, storm gusts are to be expected in northern Norway, northern Sweden and northern Finland. Storm warnings have been issued for the respective regions.

A storm watch has been issued for the northern coast of France, for Belgium, the Netherlands and the North Sea Coast of Germany regarding severe storm MIRJA, the storm field of which is expected to shift further to the south between 24 and 48 hours from now. Due to the time frame and the fact that there are still uncertainties regarding the intensity and distribution of the storm field, a storm watch has been issued for the regions stated above.

Below are today’s ESC Overview, as well as the warnings and watches.

2016-11-15

2016-11-15warn

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)

Orange: Severe storm watch (>120km/h possible within 48h)

Yellow: Storm watch (>70km/h possible within 48h)

2016.11.13 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued November 13th 2016 at 20:00 UTC.

There is currently one storm system in the region.

A nameless severe storm is located near Iceland, with a central pressure of currently 964hPa and peak gusts exceeding 120km/h. The storm center is forecast to move towards the northeast, and the wind field will intensify before making landfall in Scandinavia. Currently, this severe storm is affecting Iceland, Ireland, the UK and the North Sea Islands (storm warnings have been issued for these regions), however it is forecast to strike the west coast of Norway and the north of the Scandinavian peninsula with hurricane-forced storm gusts within the next 24 hours, hence a severe storm warning has been issued for those regions.

Below are the ESC Overview as well as warnings and watches:

2016-11-13-warn

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)

Dark red: Severe storm warning (>120km/h likely within 24h)

2016-11-13

2016.10.30 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 30th 2016 at 11:00 UTC.

There is currently one storm system in the region.

Severe storm GISI has regained strength and is now located to the northwest of Iceland with a central pressure of 993hPa, 4hPa higher than in the previous ESC overview. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 140km/h, but this is mainly over the open ocean between Iceland and Greenland. GISI is currently affecting Iceland with storm gusts that are forecast to intensify in the coming hours, hence a storm warning has been issued which overlays a severe storm watch on the map. Some northern islands of the North Sea may also be affected within the next 48 hours, but due to uncertainties and the time period a storm watch watch has been issued.

Below are the ESC Overview as well as warnings and watches:

2016-10-30-esc

2016-10-30-warn

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)

Orange: Severe storm watch (>120km/h possible within 48h)

Yellow: Storm watch (>70km/h possible within 48h)

2016.10.29 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 29th 2016 at 12:00 UTC.

There are currently two storm systems in the region.

Storm FLORENTINE has weened and is now located over Finland, with it’s main wind field over souther Scandinavia and a central pressure of 993hPa. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 90km/h, however especially in exposed locations the gusts may stronger. FLORENTINE has significantly weakened since the last ESC Overview, and is now only responsible for isolated storm gusts in southern Scandinavia and possibly along the Baltic Coasts. Therefore, instead of warnings, ESC has decided to issue storm watches regarding FLORENTINE.

Storm GISI has also weakened and is now located to the south of Iceland with a central pressure of 989hPa. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 105km/h. GISI is not affecting any land masses at the moment, but will move towards the northeast and will affect Iceland and the northern North Sea within the next 24 hours. Especially in Iceland, there may be hurricane-forced gusts, as GISI is expected to intensify as it comes closer. Therefore a storm warning has been issued for Iceland and northern North Sea islands, and a severe storm watch (covered by the warning on the map) has been issued for Iceland.

Below are the ESC Overview as well as warnings and watches:

2016-10-29-esc

2016-10-29-warn

Orange: Severe storm watch (>120km/h possible within 48h)

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)

Yellow: Storm watch (>70km/h possible within 48h)

2016.10.28 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 28th 2016 at 11:00 UTC.

There are currently two storm systems in the region.

Severe storm FLORENTINE is located to the north of Iceland with a central pressure of 978hPa. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 150km/h, however especially in exposed locations the gusts may stronger. FLORENTINE is currently affecting Iceland, the North Sea, the UK, the coasts of the Baltic and Norway; storm warnings have been issued for the regions affected. Further, the storm field will move across Scandinavia and into the Baltic sea within the next 24 hours, possibly bringing storm gusts to large parts of Scandinavia very soon – storm warning have been issued. Below are some of today’s peak gusts of severe storm FLORENTINE:
– 133km/h, Cairgorn Mountains, UK
– 126km/h, Svinoy, Norway
– 119km/h, Skamdal, Norway

A new severe storm has entered the ESC overview. Severe storm GISI is located over the northern Atlantic with a central pressure of 987hPa. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 130km/h. GISI is not affecting any land masses at the moment, but will move towards the northeast and may affect Iceland within the 48-hour forecast period; due to uncertainty in the forecast and possible lack of intensity at the time, no storm watch has been issued.

Below are the ESC Overview as well as warnings and watches:

2016-10-28-esc

2016-10-28-warn

Red: Storm warning (>75km/h likely within 24h)

2016.10.27 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 27th 2016 at 11:30 UTC.

There is currently one storm system in the region.

Severe storm FLORENTINE is located near Iceland. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 135km/h, however especially in exposed locations the gusts may be a lot stronger. FLORENTINE is currently affecting Iceland, the North Sea, Ireland, the UK and Norway; storm warnings have been issued for the regions affected. Further, the storm field will move across Scandinavia and into the Baltic sea within the next 24 to 48 hours, possibly bringing storm gusts to the coasts of the Baltic as early as in 12 hours – due to uncertainties in the prediction and the time period, a storm watch rather than a warning has been issued for the coats of the Baltic sea and southern Sweden. Below are some of today’s peak gusts of severe storm FLORENTINE:
– 161km/h – Cairgorn Mountains, UK
– 157km/h – Juvvasshoe, Norway
– 143km/h – Cairnwell, UK
– 140km/h – Myken, Norway
– 137km/h – Krakenes, Norway
– 133km/h – Svinoy, Norway
– 130km/h – Aonach Mor, UK

Below are the ESC overview as well as warnings/watches maps.

2016-10-27-esc 2016-10-27-warn

Red: Storm warning (>75km/h likely within 24h)

Yellow: Storm watch (>75km/h possible within 48h)

2016.10.24 – ESC Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 24th 2016 at 11:35 UTC.

There are currently two storm systems in the region.

Storm ELISABETH is located to the west of the Iberian peninsula. Its central pressure is 991hPa,  peak gusts currently exceed 95km/h. The system is forecast to remain more or less stationary to the west / southwest of Portugal. ELISABETH’s storm field is not predicted to affect any land masses within the next 48 hours, hence no warnings or watches have been issued.

A new, nameless storm is located in northeastern Canada. Peak gusts currently exceed 105km/h. As of now, the storm field of this low pressure system is not affecting any European land masses, but storm gusts of around 100km/h are possible in Iceland in about 30 hours and later on other islands in the North Sea and possibly the northern tip of the UK. Therefore, a storm watch has been issued for these regions regarding this new storm.

Below are the ESC overview as well as warnings/watches maps.

2016-10-24-esc

2016-10-24-warn

Yellow: Storm watch (>70km/h possible within 48h)

2016.10.22 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 22nd 2016 at 11:30 UTC.

There are currently two storm systems in the region.

Severe storm NICOLE is located near the east coast of Greenland. Its central pressure is 981hPa,  peak gusts currently exceed 135km/h. A gust of 83km/h has been registered in Greenland. The system is forecast to remain more or less stationary between the eastern coast of Greenland and Iceland. NICOLE’s storm field may affect Iceland early in the 24-hour forecast period, however there are big uncertainties with the forecast and hence ESC only issued a storm watch for Iceland.

A new, nameless storm is located between to the northwest of Portugal and southwest of Ireland. Its central pressure is 993hPa, and this is the first ESC overview in which this storm is being tracked. Peak gusts currently exceed 115km/h. As of now, the storm field of this low pressure system is not affecting land masses, but it is forecast to strike the southwest of the UK and the far NW of France with gusts of up to 85km/h within the next 24 hours, therefore a storm warning has been issued for the region. Storm watches have been issued for southern Ireland, southern UK, the west coast of France and parts of the northern coast of Spain because there may be storm gusts in these regions within the next 48 hours due to this new system.

Below are the ESC overview as well as warnings/watches maps.

2016-10-22-esc

2016-10-22-warn

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)

Yellow: Storm watch (>70km/h possible within 48h)

2016.10.20 – ESC European Storm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 20th 2016 at 11:00 UTC.

There are currently two storm systems in the region.

Severe storm NICOLE is located at the east coast of Greenland. Its central pressure is 967hPa, an increase of 6 hPa since the last ESC overview at 21:40UTC, peak gusts currently exceed 130km/h. A gust of 109km/h has been registered in Greenland. The system is forecast to remain more or less stationary on the eastern coast of Greenland. NICOLE is currently, and is forecast to continue to affect Iceland within the 24-hour forecast period. Hurricane-forced storm gusts over 130km/h are possible early in the 24-hour forecast, and the wind speeds will generally decrease. Exposed places such as mountain peaks and coasts are especially at risk. A severe storm warning has been issued for Iceland due to the imminent threat from the severe storm NICOLE.

A new, nameless severe storm is located between Canada and Greenland. Its central pressure is 988hPa, and this is the first ESC overview in which this storm is being tracked. Peak gusts currently exceed 120km/h. The storm is currently over the ocean and not affecting any European landmasses. The storm may affect Iceland within the 48-hour forecast period for watches, but there is still substantial uncertainty about the future of this storm system.

Below are the ESC overview as well as warnings/watches maps.

2016-10-20-esc

2016-10-20-warn

Dark red: Severe storm warning (>120km/h likely within 24h)

2016.10.19 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches – Update

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 19th 2016 at 21:40 UTC.

There is currently one storm system in the region.

Severe storm NICOLE is located over the Northern Atlantic to the east of Greenland and west-southwest of Iceland. Its central pressure is 961hPa, a decrease of 5 hPa since the last ESC overview at 10UTC, peak gusts currently exceed 130km/h. A gust of 107km/h has been registered in Iceland, in Greenland a wind peak of 126km/h has been registered. The system is forecast to move towards the north, and its center is predicted to reach the coast of Greenland within 24h. NICOLE is forecast to affect Iceland within the 24-hour forecast period. Hurricane-forced storm gusts over 135km/h, possibly more, are to be expected as the storm fiel moves across the Island in the coming 24h. Exposed places such as mountain peaks and coasts are especially at risk. A severe storm warning has been issued for Iceland due to the imminent threat from the severe storm NICOLE. Outskirts of NICOLE’s storm field will also affect the northern North Sea, hence a storm warning has been issued for the islands located there.

Below are the ESC overview as well as warnings/watches maps.

2016-10-19-esc2

2016-10-19-warn2

Dark red: Severe storm warning (>120km/h likely within 24h)

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)