2016.12.20 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

This is the ESC European Windstorm Overview, Issued at 0750UTC on the 20.12.2016

There are currently two storm systems in the region.

Severe storm XENIA is located near Iceland with a central pressure of 945hPa and peak gusts exceeding 145km/h. Its storm field is currently affecting Iceland and will move across the UK, Ireland, the North Sea Islands and to the coast of Norway in the coming hours. Hurricane-forced gusts are to be expected in Iceland, the northern UK, the North Sea Islands and Norway’s coast – severe storm warnings have been issued for those regions. In Ireland and parts of the central UK, storm gusts are to be expected and hence a storm warning was issued. The storm may affect the Baltic between 24 and 48 hours from now, however due to uncertainties in the forecast and the time span in which this may happen, only a storm watch has been issued for the islands in the Baltic.

Another storm is currently located in the western Mediterranean, with a central pressure of 1002hPa and peak gusts of over 115km/h. The main threat from this system, however, is excessive precipitation. ESC has issued a storm warning for the Baleares, far southern France, Corsica, Sardinia and Sicily. The storm is forecast to weaken in the coming 24 hours, and no storm watches are necessary.

Dark red: Severe storm warning (>120km/h within 24h likely)

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h within 24h likely)

Yellow: Storm watch (>70km/h within 48h likely)

2016.12.14 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

This is the ESC European Windstorm Overview, issued 2016.12.14 at 1630UTC.

There are currently two storm systems in the regions.

Severe storm XENIA is located to the southeast of Iceland with a central pressure of 973hPa and peak gusts exceeding 130km/h. It is currently affecting Iceland, the North Sea Islands and possibly the coast of Norway. The storm is expected to weaken and ultimately dissipate as it moves in a northerly direction and away from land masses. Due to uncertainties in the size of XENIA’s storm field, a storm watch has been issued for the coast of Norway.

A nameless severe storm is located over the central northern Atlantic, with a central pressure of only 959hPa and peak gusts exceeding the impressive value of 160km/h. It is forecast to move further to the northeast but weaken on the way. Iceland should nonetheless brace for gusts above 110km/h from this storm within the 24-48hours. Due to the possibility of storm gusts in northwestern Ireland and the northwestern UK, a storm watch has been issued for those regions as well.

Below are the ESC Overview- as well as the Warnings and Watches Maps.

2016.12.12 – ESC European Windstorm Overview

This is the ESC European Windstorm Overview, issued 12.12.2016 at 1630UTC.

There are currently two storm systems in the region.

Storm WALTRAUD is located at the northeastern tip of Iceland, currently with a central pressure of 980hPa and peak gusts exceeding 115km/h. The storm is currently affecting Iceland, hence a storm warning has been issued for that island. No other land masses are expected to be in WALTRAUD’s storm field within the forecast period.

A nameless severe storm is located over the northern Atlantic, moving to the north. It currently has a central pressure of 960hPa and peak gusts exceeding 140km/h. Its storm field is expected to extend over Iceland, Ireland, the UK and the North Sea islands within the 48-hour forecast period needed for a watch to be issued.

Below are the ESC European Storm Overview and Warnings / Watches maps:

 

2016.12.07 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

This is the ESC European Windstorm Overview, Issued at 1500UTC on the 07th of December, 2016.

There is currently 1 storm system in the region.

Storm UTE is located to the north of the British Isles with a central pressure of 994hPa and gusts exceeding 105km/h in its storm field. It is currently affecting both the UK and Ireland, hence a storm warning has been issued for these two countries. A storm warning has also been issued for the North Sea islands, where the storm field is expected to move within the next 24 hours. UTE is then predicted to move further to the east, affecting the coasts of southern Scandinavia and the Baltic coasts as soon as within 36 hours; due to uncertainties in timing and intensity of the storm field, a storm watch has been issued. The storm field is then expected to stretch southeast through eastern Europe towards the end of the 48-hour forecast period; a storm watch has been issued for those regions as well. Peak gusts of storm UTE today:
166km/h – Cairngorn Mountains, UK
135km/h – Aonach Mor, UK
128km/h – Bealach Na Ba No 2, UK

Below are the ESC Overview, as well as the Warnings and Watches map:

 

2016.11.25 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

This is the ESC European windstorm overview, issued at 17:00UTC on November 25th, 2016.

There are currently two systems in the region.

Storm RENATE is currently located to the northeast of Iceland, with a central pressure of 981hPa at the last, 12UTC, analysis. Peak gusts currently exceed 110km/h, with the highest wind speeds currently over the North Sea as well as north of Iceland and along the coast of Greenland. The storm is already affecting Norway, but is forecast to move towards the east over the next 24 hours, and most of Scandinavia will be affected by RENATE’s storm field within this time, hence storm warnings have been issued for the North Sea Islands, Norway, Sweden, Finland and the coasts of some Baltic nations (see the warnings map below for details). Here are the peak gusts measured in relation to RENATE today:
148km/h – Juvvasshoe, Norway
117km/h – Ona Li, Norway
108km/h – Krakenes, Norway

A second, nameless storm is currently located over the northern Atlantic. Peak gusts in this system exceed 105km/h at this time, and the central pressure is 990hPa. The storm is expected to move towards the north and strengthen, and in a time period between 24 and 48 hours from now is affected to affect Iceland with its storm field, hence a storm warning has been issued for the island. Peak gusts may exceed 100km/h in Iceland when the storm strikes.

 

This is the ESC European windstorm outlook, issued at 17:00UTC on November 25th, 2016.

(For the time period up to T+48h please refer to the ESC European windstorm overview).

The second half of Sunday will be fairly calm, except for a storm field over the Baltic with peak gusts exceeding 95km/h and possibly windy conditions especially on the northwestern coast of Iceland.
No significant storm systems are expected for Monday as of now, although along the northern edge of a high-pressure area located over the North Sea there will be an area of increased wind speeds, possibly with some gusts over 80km/h affecting some North Sea Islands.
On Tuesday, a low pressure system is expected to form near Iceland, which is forecast to quickly intensify and start moving to the east. By 18UTC, ESC expects the system to pack peak gusts of over 125km/h and may affect the coast of Norway. At the same time, storm gusts are expected over the northern Atlantic between the low pressure near Iceland and the higher pressure further south, with gusts exceeding 120km/h.
On Wednesday, this storm field is expected to move across the UK and into the North Sea. The north of the UK should be ready for gusts over 105km/h, the coast of Norway may experience gusts over 110km/h a few hours later. The second storm, moving east from Iceland, will merge with an area of lower pressure already located over Scandinavia and so contribute to the large storm field over the UK and into the North Sea. In the evening, the storm field is forecast to move on to affect the south of Scandinavia, Denmark as well as northern Germany and Poland. Peak gusts over 110km/h are to be expected.
For Thursday, the storm system is expected to affect much of central Europe all the way south to Slovenia; most of central Europe, including the Netherlands, Austria, Denmark, Germany, the Czech Republic and parts of Poland should expect over 125km/h winds as the storm field moves through.
This storm will move towards the east on Friday, bringing gusts near 100km/h to the Balkans especially in the first half of the day, but at the same time a new storm will start forming in the North Sea. By the evening, around 115km/h winds may affect the north of the UK and the North Sea Islands.

Below are today’s ESC Overview map, warnings and watches.

2016-11-25-esc

2016-11-25-warn

Red: Storm Warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)

Yellow: Storm watch (>70km/h possible within 24h)

2016.11.16 02:00 UTC – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

This is the ESC European Windstorm Overview, issued at 02:00am on the 16th of November, 2016.

Severe storm MIRJA is located just to the northwest of Iceland with a central pressure of 966hPa at the 18UTC analysis. Peak gusts in the system currently exceed 170km/h, making it fit for the classification as “severe storm”. The system is forecast to gradually move to the east, and within the next 24 hours will (in some regions continue to) affect Iceland, Ireland, the UK and the North Sea Islands. At the beginning of the forecast period, in the coming few hours, the possibility of severe storm gusts especially at the southwestern coast of Iceland is given. A storm warning has been issued for all of the above regions, in southwestern Iceland it overlays a severe storm watch.
Peak gusts registered in relation to storm MIRJA in the past 24h:
154km/h in Cairngorn Mountains, UK
133km/h in Juvvasshoe, Norway

Storm LAURA is located at the northwestern coast of Norway. It currently has a central pressure of 965hPa, and peak gusts exceeding 105km/h. Within the next 24 hours, it will continue to move towards the east and quickly lose intensity; however especially at the beginning of the forecast period, storm gusts are to be expected in northern Norway, northern Sweden and northern Finland. Storm warnings have been issued for the respective regions.

A storm watch has been issued for the northern coast of France, for Belgium, the Netherlands and the North Sea Coast of Germany regarding severe storm MIRJA, the storm field of which is expected to shift further to the south between 24 and 48 hours from now. Due to the time frame and the fact that there are still uncertainties regarding the intensity and distribution of the storm field, a storm watch has been issued for the regions stated above.

Below are today’s ESC Overview, as well as the warnings and watches.

2016-11-15

2016-11-15warn

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)

Orange: Severe storm watch (>120km/h possible within 48h)

Yellow: Storm watch (>70km/h possible within 48h)

2016.11.13 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued November 13th 2016 at 20:00 UTC.

There is currently one storm system in the region.

A nameless severe storm is located near Iceland, with a central pressure of currently 964hPa and peak gusts exceeding 120km/h. The storm center is forecast to move towards the northeast, and the wind field will intensify before making landfall in Scandinavia. Currently, this severe storm is affecting Iceland, Ireland, the UK and the North Sea Islands (storm warnings have been issued for these regions), however it is forecast to strike the west coast of Norway and the north of the Scandinavian peninsula with hurricane-forced storm gusts within the next 24 hours, hence a severe storm warning has been issued for those regions.

Below are the ESC Overview as well as warnings and watches:

2016-11-13-warn

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)

Dark red: Severe storm warning (>120km/h likely within 24h)

2016-11-13

2016.10.30 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 30th 2016 at 11:00 UTC.

There is currently one storm system in the region.

Severe storm GISI has regained strength and is now located to the northwest of Iceland with a central pressure of 993hPa, 4hPa higher than in the previous ESC overview. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 140km/h, but this is mainly over the open ocean between Iceland and Greenland. GISI is currently affecting Iceland with storm gusts that are forecast to intensify in the coming hours, hence a storm warning has been issued which overlays a severe storm watch on the map. Some northern islands of the North Sea may also be affected within the next 48 hours, but due to uncertainties and the time period a storm watch watch has been issued.

Below are the ESC Overview as well as warnings and watches:

2016-10-30-esc

2016-10-30-warn

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)

Orange: Severe storm watch (>120km/h possible within 48h)

Yellow: Storm watch (>70km/h possible within 48h)

2016.10.29 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 29th 2016 at 12:00 UTC.

There are currently two storm systems in the region.

Storm FLORENTINE has weened and is now located over Finland, with it’s main wind field over souther Scandinavia and a central pressure of 993hPa. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 90km/h, however especially in exposed locations the gusts may stronger. FLORENTINE has significantly weakened since the last ESC Overview, and is now only responsible for isolated storm gusts in southern Scandinavia and possibly along the Baltic Coasts. Therefore, instead of warnings, ESC has decided to issue storm watches regarding FLORENTINE.

Storm GISI has also weakened and is now located to the south of Iceland with a central pressure of 989hPa. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 105km/h. GISI is not affecting any land masses at the moment, but will move towards the northeast and will affect Iceland and the northern North Sea within the next 24 hours. Especially in Iceland, there may be hurricane-forced gusts, as GISI is expected to intensify as it comes closer. Therefore a storm warning has been issued for Iceland and northern North Sea islands, and a severe storm watch (covered by the warning on the map) has been issued for Iceland.

Below are the ESC Overview as well as warnings and watches:

2016-10-29-esc

2016-10-29-warn

Orange: Severe storm watch (>120km/h possible within 48h)

Red: Storm warning (>70km/h likely within 24h)

Yellow: Storm watch (>70km/h possible within 48h)

2016.10.28 – ESC European Windstorm Overview / Warnings / Watches

Here is today’s ESC European windstorm overview, issued October 28th 2016 at 11:00 UTC.

There are currently two storm systems in the region.

Severe storm FLORENTINE is located to the north of Iceland with a central pressure of 978hPa. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 150km/h, however especially in exposed locations the gusts may stronger. FLORENTINE is currently affecting Iceland, the North Sea, the UK, the coasts of the Baltic and Norway; storm warnings have been issued for the regions affected. Further, the storm field will move across Scandinavia and into the Baltic sea within the next 24 hours, possibly bringing storm gusts to large parts of Scandinavia very soon – storm warning have been issued. Below are some of today’s peak gusts of severe storm FLORENTINE:
– 133km/h, Cairgorn Mountains, UK
– 126km/h, Svinoy, Norway
– 119km/h, Skamdal, Norway

A new severe storm has entered the ESC overview. Severe storm GISI is located over the northern Atlantic with a central pressure of 987hPa. The system’s peak gusts currently exceed 130km/h. GISI is not affecting any land masses at the moment, but will move towards the northeast and may affect Iceland within the 48-hour forecast period; due to uncertainty in the forecast and possible lack of intensity at the time, no storm watch has been issued.

Below are the ESC Overview as well as warnings and watches:

2016-10-28-esc

2016-10-28-warn

Red: Storm warning (>75km/h likely within 24h)