Monthly Archives: December 2013

Forecast: Germany, Austria

Most of the readers of the MILK forecasts are probably spread around Germany and Austria at this time, so this forecast will be the first one sent by MILK that deals with the whole area.
Today in the morning it will be mainly fair in germany, in Berlin sunny. Only in the south of Germany there might be overcast skies. In SE Germany it will locally snow, same in East Tyrol and in Carynthia in Austria. Fog is to be expected locally in central Bavaria, and not so locally in  S and central Tyrol. In Far south Carynthia the snow might actually fall in flakes and not like in the other regions just for short times as very small flakes. The minimum temperature today is around 1°C in N Germany, 5°C at the coasts -1°C in central Germany, -2°C in S Germany and -2°C in Austria, only in the far E of Austria will there be warmer temperatures around 3°C. In the mountains of Austria, the ski-areas, the temperatures will be aroun -22°C this morning. Until noon the snow will dissipate, only some very small snowflakes may still fall in far S Carynthia in Austria. During the day a surprisingly rainy cold front will move into Germany from the W, bringing more clouds to the W of germany already in the early afternoon, and in the evening it will start to drizzle in W Germany. In the evening in Carynthia and NW Styria (Austria) it will start to snow very lightly and locally again. Todays maximum temperatures reach from -6°C in the mountains in Austria, 4 or 5°C in the lowlands of Austria, 4°C in Germany to 7°C at the north sea coast.
With the warm front the wind will pick up in the North Sea, and reach a “strong storm” classification on the bouford scale. In N and W Germany at that time MILK would issue a wind warning level 1.
So much to today.
Tomorrow in the morning most of the wind will have passed Germany. In the morning it will be quite frosty again, especially in the Alps.IN Austria, especially in East Tyrol the temperatures in the ski regions will drop to around -25°C, in high valleys the temperature will be only -23°C. In the lowland of Austria the temperatures will be between -2 and 2°C. In Germany in the SE -3°C, in the E -1°C and in the NW 3°C. At the coast 3-6°C, warmer at the north sea. In the morning it will snow in E Austria, and rain in far E Austria. It will also rain in a small stripe in central north Germany. In the rest of Germany it will be very cloudy, in Austria quite sunny. During the day the snow in E Austria will turn to rain more and more, and in the late afternoon it will only rain. In the evening once again two very rainy cold fronts that seem to be catching up on each other will approach Germany from the west, while in the E half of Germany it will be fair or clear. The maximum temperatures for Tuesday are between -4°C in the Alps, 5°C in the Austrian lowland and in Germany and 6°C at the north sea coast. Since in that night new year will be celebrated, this forecast will be extended for that period of time.
In the late evening slowly rain will move in from the W, while further east it is still not very cloudy, often even considered as “sunny” (in the night). In the Styria it will be quite cloudy at that time, in the rest of Austria quite nice. At MIDNIGHT, new year, the wind might be a slight problem for people planning to shoot fireworks in NW Germany, where it will peak with around 60kmh. W Germany will be rainy, and at the edge of the front there is a slight chance that there will be very light snow. Most of Germany will be cloudy, so around 4/8 of the sky covered, it will be nicer the further E you go. In Austria it will be relatively cloudy in the E, and quite clear in the W. But that doesnt matter, you can see fireworks ayway even if its cloudy. Because amateur fireworks do not fly higher that 800m, usually only 80m.
MILK weather – be sure to check on www.milk-weather.org and reigister on our forum MILK Stormchasers

18.12.2013 – Morning overview

This current weather overview is based on our MILK Home Meteorologist data.

 

The current satellite images of europe show that there is an extended high pressure area over the SE of Europe, the Balcan, while over the E Meditterranean there are convective clouds. Over the N Atlantic S and SW of Iceland there is a big field of cumulus or altocumulus clouds, while over central europe there is a jetstream-like cloud formation that reaches from the sahara, over Denmark until Russia. The polar front of the Atlantic seems to be surprisingly far to the south. Over the carribean it is generally quite nice with scattered clouds, although some cumulonimbus clouds are visible. SW of W Africa there is a big thunderstorm cluster, and MCS. Visible in Germany and Austria is that the clouds are actual clouds, and not only fog.

The radar of Germany shows rain, mostly in detatched form or showers that are partly strong, moving towards Germany from WSW or SW. Momentarily most of the rain is still west of a line Berlin-Kassel-Frankfurt-Stuttgart. Around berling there are slight radar echoes, but these are caused rather by fog and very light showers than anything else. In Austria it is dry.

More information can be found at MILK Home Meteorologist

In observation: The european Snow Storm – Live Ticker

Friday, 05:50UTC

The storm is becoming more and more intense in Berlin

 

Friday, 05:30UTC

The storm is now battering Berlin. The wind howls over roofs, seems to want to press the windows into the buildings. It is horrific, but also terrific. The sounds are amazing.

But behind the actual low pressure area is even more storm, and that storm is what Germany is currently experiencing.

 

Thursday, 18:05UTC

More fotos of the current storm…

All images come from wetteronline dot de

The weather network on Twitter

Gerrit van den Geest over Twitter

John Rhodes over twitter

MunnsMedia over Twitter

 

 

 

Thursday, 17:10UTC

Some images of the storm and it’s effects. All images come from www.wetteronline.de

More images coming soon

www.wetteronline.de

 

Expresselbe on Twitter

Mariane Luinstra on Twitter

 

Thursday, 17:02UTC

The storm has reached Berlin. A desaster warning hs been issued by the government of Berlin. The storm is currently very intense, dumping huge amounts of snow, which started recently. Schools are publishing their own restrictions that students are not allowed to leave the school buildings.

 

Thursday, 10:45UTC

The center of Xaver is currentl located E of GB.

The currently strongest gusts in Germany are reported from the Brocken, with 119kmh. Berlin is currently still calm.

 

Thursday, 08:30UTC

Update: the current situation in Germany. The weather service(s) DWD and Meteomedia have now published warnings that are not considered pre-warnings, but rather disaster warnings.

The storm Xaver is currently E of the British islands and moving towards the Baltic relatively quickly. Berlin and Kleinmachnow, where we are reporting from, are not yet affected by the wind field, although the cloud cover has increased within the last hours and thre pressure has fallen. First rain areas/fields are already being reported in NW Germany. We will keep you updated.

 

Thursday, 06:30UTC

The cloud field has now reached the NW coast of Germany. The serious stuff is beginning.

 

Thursday, 04:58UTC

Just now a report reached us: The peak gusts in GB were in fact quite a bit higher than expected;163kmh in the highlands.

Thursday, 04:55UTC

Coming with the storm is  a cold front, which is causing thunderstorms along its leangth. See the map below for live information about the thunderstorms’ positions.

Updates automatically

 

Thursday, 04:50UTC

We are now reporting on the day the storm acutaly strikes Germany. The cloudy area that was in the middle of the Atlantic still yesterday now is a full fledged storm and also lookes like it. RIght now, consistant winds of 117kmh are battering two islands NW of the main island of GB, even though the storm doesn’t even strike directly there.

Image from 4:30 UTC

Image from 4:30 UTC

 

 

—————————————-THURSDAY————————

 

Wednesday, 05:30UTC

Warnings for tomorrow:

Pre-warnings for tomorrow

Pre-warnings for tomorrow

 

Wednesday, 05:05UTC:

Here come the warnings for specific cities

Hamburg: 90 to 120, sometimes 130kmh on Thursday, 80 to 100kmh on Friday

Kiel: 110 to 140kmh, sometimes over 150kmh on Thursday, 80 to 110kmh on Friday.

Helgoland: 130 to 170kmh, sometimes 190kmh on Thursday, 100 to 140kmh on Friday.

Rotock: 80 to 120kmh, sometimes 130kmh, 80 to 100kmh on Friday

Bremen: 90 to 120kmh, sometimes 130kmh on Thursday, 80 to 100kmh on Friday

Hannover: 90 to 120kmh, sometimes 130kmh on Thursday, 8o to 100kmh on Friday

Potsdam: 90 to 12o, sometimes 130kmh on Thursday, 80 to 100kmh on Friday.

Berlin: 90 to 120kmh, sometimes 130kmh on Thursday, 80 to 100kmh on Friday.

Köln: 90 to 100kmh, sometimes 110kmh on Thursday, 80 to 90kmh on Friday.

Leipzig: 90 to 120kmh, sometimes 130km on Thursday, 80 to 100kmh on Friday

Same for most of the other cities.

 

Wednesday, 05:00UTC

The warning situation in Germany for Wind, Today.

The warning situation in Germany for Wind, Today.

Green: strong wind

Yellow: Severe wind

 

—————————- WEDNESDAY IS ABOVE ————————————

Tuesday, 05:20UTC

The storm will bring a drop of temperatures as well. See the lowest  temperatures expected for Germany that follow: (mountains NOT included)

  • Today: -4°C
  • Tomorrow: -3°C
  • Thursday: -5°C
  • Friday: -5°C
  • Saturday: -10°c
  • Sunday: -12°C
  • Monday: -12°C
  • Tuesday: -18°C

 

Tuesday, 05:15UTC

But what about the snow exactly?

It will begin to snow locally and for a short time in front of the front with extreme rain that will move in very rapidly. As the air cools down in the evening, more and more of the rain will turn to snow, especially around the edge of the rain area. In the night most of the rain will turn to snow, already in the late evening it will snow in Berlin and Bremen, and strong snow showers will move through Hamburg. The snow showers are particularily dangerous, since they will dump great ammounts of snow in very local regions very quickly, and are likely to cause a great chaos. It will continue to snow in the night, and during the night the very rare snow thunderstorms are expected in the north sea and on the island Helgoland. During the early morning hours there will be some more snow thunderstorms, mainly in the region of the north sea. But also freezing rain will become a possible problem in E Germany. The strong snow showers will continue, and even if it snows without showery characteristics it is likely that it will still snow hard. From the storm on, most of the precipitation will be frozen.

 

Tuesday, 05UTC

As far as forecast until now, the Storm will strike central Europe the hardest, bringing gusts over 155kmh to Denmark and far N Germany. Also Germany’s capital, Berlin, is expected to get struck by gusts that may exceed 100kmh.

As of Germany, the storm will move in Thursday, with intense rain and only some snow flakes before the incredibly intense rain beginns. Over the night the atmosphere will cool down, and the rain will turn to snow. Also the rain that already fell will turn to ice. This will mean a big chaos in transportation.

Please see the earlier post with the early warning map

————————- TUESDAY ———————————————